There were few surprises with the 2008 Oscar nominations. As is very often par for the course, they basically mirrored those of the Golden Globes. Where the two may differ, however, could be in who walks away with the Oscar statue.
Atonement remains heavily favored by many to walk away with the Best Picture Award. Other nominees include Juno, Michael Clayton, No Country for Old Men, and There Will Be Blood.
Some critics believe that No Country for Old Men could pull off an upset. A few even think that the statue could be awarded to There Will Be Blood. Almost everyone agrees that Juno and Michael Clayton are longshots in this category. I’m hoping that Atonement wins but I’m predicting it will be No Country for Old Men
The Best Actor category could be interesting this year, with many people pulling for perennial favorite, Johnny Depp against fellow Golden Globe winner Daniel Day-Lewis. Other nominees in the category include George Clooney for Michael Clayton; and Viggo Mortensen for Eastern Promises.
With votes likely split between Depp and Lewis, however, it is possible that Tommy Lee Jones could sweep in and steal the award for his role in No Country For Old Men. However, I’m betting that Johnny Depp will be the one to take home gold for Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street.
A lot of people were shocked when Marion Cotillard walked off with the Golden Globe for Best Actress her role in La Vie en Rose. They were less surprised at Julie Christie’s win for her role in Away from Her. With the categories combined under the Academy Awards, however, the award is certainly up for grabs.
Other nominees in the category include Cate Blanchett for Elizabeth: The Golden Age, Laura Linney for The Savages, and Ellen Page for Juno. This one is tough to call but I think it is possible that Julie Christie will walk away with the Oscar too.
Javier Bardem seems a shoo-in for Best Supporting Actor for his groundbreaking role in No Country for Old Men. He is heavily favored in this category. However, there are a lot of wonderful actors going up against him, including Casey Affleck for The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford, Hal Holbrook for Into the Wild, Philip Seymour Hoffman for Charlie Wilson’s War, and Tom Wilkinson, for Michael Clayton.
A few think it is possible that Affleck could pull an upset. However, I don’t see the young actor taking home the statue this year. If an upset occurs at all, I think it will be Philip Seymour Hoffman or Tom Wilkinson who makes it happen. Hal Holbrook is a longshot in this particular category. My prediction, however, is the Javier Bardem will continue his winning streak.
Cate Blanchett walked away with the Golden Globe in the Best Supporting Actress category for playing Bob Dylan in I’m Not There. Can she do it again with the Oscars? I think it’s quite possible.
Her competition in this category includes Ruby Dee for American Gangster, Saoirse Ronan for Atonement, Amy Ryan for Gone Baby Gone, and Tilda Swinton for Michael Clayton. If an upset occurs, I think it could come from an unexpected place like Ruby Dee. But I think Cate Blanchett will repeat her win.
Julian Schnabel shocked everyone by winning the Golden Globe for Best Director for The Diving Bell and the Butterfly. However, I don’t think he will repeat his win with an Oscar.
The competition is stiff with Jason Reitman nominated for Juno, Tony Gilroy nominated for Michael Clayton, Joel and Ethan Coen nominated for No Country for Old Men, and Paul Thomas Anderson nominated for There Will Be Blood.
I’m not quite sure the academy is ready to award the Oscar to the quirky, albeit highly talented Coen brothers. I think, instead, the Academy Award may go to Paul Thomas Anderson for There Will Be Blood.
The Best Adapted Screenplay is hard to call. The competition is outstanding with nominees including Christopher Hampton for Atonement, Sarah Polley for Away from Her, Ronald Harwood for The Diving Bell and the Butterfly, Joel and Ethan Coen for No Country for Old Men, and Paul Thomas Anderson for There Will Be Blood.
I’m going out on a limb here to predict that the Oscar will be awarded to Christopher Hampton for Atonement. However, it could easily go to the Coen Brothers for No Country for Old Men or Paul Thomas Anderson for There Will Be Blood. In This instance, I think the Coen Brothers just might win.
I honestly have no idea who will take home the prize for Best Original Screenplay. Nominees include Diablo Cody for Juno, Nancy Oliver for Lars and the Real Girl, Tony Gilroy for Michael Clayton, Brad Bird, Jan Pinkava and Jim Capobianco for Ratatouille, and Tamara Jenkins for The Savages. I’d love to see Ratatouille win but I think that is unlikely. I think the winner will likely be Diablo Cody for Juno.
Other categories include the following:
Animated Feature Film;
Best Foreign Film;
Animated Short Film;
Live Action Short Film; and
The Oscars are scheduled to take place on February 24th if the writer’s strike doesn’t derail it as it has the People’s Choice and Golden Globes.